Welcome to Tournament Index — the most accurate March Madness projections model on the Internet.
Heat Check CBB’s Tournament Index is the most accurate March Madness projections model on the Internet.
The purpose: We project how March Madness teams will perform based on their own strengths as well as their bracket placement, identifying under-seeded and over-seeded teams and the difficulty of their tournament path.
Tournament Index: 2022-23 Ratings
Ratings are updated every morning.Projected seeds are courtesy of BracketMatrix.com. Only teams that appear in the most recent BracketMatrix update are included in tournament advancement probabilities.
Clicking the + icon will display tournament advancement probabilities by round as well as the team's most similar historical March Madness team, determined by similarity scores.
| RANK | TEAM | CONF | RATING | SEED | AVG. WINS | NET | RECORD | First Round | Second Round | Sweet 16 | Elite Eight | Final Four | Champ | Most Similar Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston | AAC | 90.1 | 1 | 3.23 | 1 | 31-2 | 94.9% | 76.3% | 59.2% | 42.9% | 29.7% | 19.7% | 2014 Arizona (1-seed, E8) |
| 2 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 86.5 | 2 | 2.79 | 4 | 29-5 | 90.1% | 73.3% | 51.6% | 31.8% | 20.3% | 12.3% | 2022 Baylor (1-seed, R32) |
| 3 | Alabama | SEC | 84.6 | 1 | 2.72 | 2 | 28-5 | 92.8% | 68.7% | 48.5% | 31.3% | 19.1% | 11.1% | 2021 Michigan (1-seed, E8) |
| 4 | Gonzaga | WCC | 83.9 | 3 | 2.44 | 6 | 28-5 | 87.4% | 65.2% | 43.2% | 24.8% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 2022 Purdue (3-seed, S16) |
| 5 | Tennessee | SEC | 83.6 | 4 | 2.18 | 3 | 23-10 | 81.8% | 61.3% | 33.6% | 21.2% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 2013 Michigan State (3-seed, S16) |
| 6 | UConn | Big East | 83.3 | 3 | 2.38 | 7 | 25-8 | 87.0% | 64.1% | 41.9% | 23.6% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2017 Florida State (3-seed, R32) |
| 7 | Kansas | Big 12 | 81.7 | 1 | 2.46 | 8 | 27-7 | 91.5% | 64.2% | 42.6% | 25.6% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 2015 Kansas (2-seed, R32) |
| 8 | Arizona | Pac-12 | 80.9 | 2 | 2.30 | 11 | 28-6 | 86.3% | 64.8% | 40.2% | 21.1% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 2018 Purdue (2-seed, S16) |
| 9 | Texas | Big 12 | 80.3 | 2 | 2.25 | 9 | 26-8 | 85.8% | 63.8% | 39.0% | 20.1% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 2017 Purdue (4-seed, S16) |
| 10 | Purdue | Big Ten | 79.6 | 1 | 2.28 | 5 | 28-5 | 90.3% | 60.6% | 38.3% | 21.7% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2019 Purdue (3-seed, E8) |
| 11 | Duke | ACC | 79.6 | 5 | 1.72 | 25 | 26-8 | 77.9% | 48.1% | 23.1% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2018 Kentucky (5-seed, S16) |
| 12 | Baylor | Big 12 | 78.7 | 2 | 2.12 | 12 | 22-10 | 84.5% | 61.1% | 35.8% | 17.5% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 2014 Michigan (2-seed, E8) |
| 13 | Arkansas | SEC | 78.1 | 8 | 1.23 | 18 | 20-13 | 64.3% | 27.2% | 16.5% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2018 Kentucky (5-seed, S16) |
| 14 | Creighton | Big East | 77.4 | 7 | 1.36 | 14 | 21-12 | 69.2% | 33.1% | 18.6% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2014 Oklahoma State (9-seed, R64) |
| 15 | Kentucky | SEC | 77.3 | 6 | 1.49 | 21 | 21-11 | 72.3% | 38.3% | 21.4% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2016 Duke (4-seed, S16) |
| 16 | Indiana | Big Ten | 76.5 | 4 | 1.60 | 28 | 22-11 | 73.7% | 48.0% | 20.6% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2022 Ohio State (7-seed, R32) |
| 17 | Xavier | Big East | 74.2 | 4 | 1.44 | 23 | 25-9 | 70.7% | 43.5% | 17.1% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 2016 Miami (3-seed, S16) |
| 18 | Saint Mary's | WCC | 73.5 | 6 | 1.23 | 10 | 26-7 | 66.9% | 31.1% | 15.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 2021 Colorado (5-seed, R32) |
| 19 | Marquette | Big East | 72.8 | 3 | 1.57 | 13 | 28-6 | 76.9% | 44.9% | 21.7% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 2017 Butler (4-seed, S16) |
| 20 | Illinois | Big Ten | 72.1 | 9 | 0.90 | 33 | 20-12 | 55.5% | 18.3% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2018 Texas A&M (7-seed, S16) |
| 21 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 72.1 | 3 | 1.52 | 17 | 23-9 | 76.1% | 43.5% | 20.6% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 2015 Maryland (4-seed, R32) |
| 22 | TCU | Big 12 | 71.9 | 5 | 1.22 | 29 | 21-12 | 68.0% | 33.6% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 2022 North Carolina (8-seed, RUNNER-UP) |
| 23 | Auburn | SEC | 71.7 | 9 | 0.88 | 32 | 20-12 | 54.9% | 17.8% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 2022 North Carolina (8-seed, RUNNER-UP) |
| 24 | Virginia | ACC | 71.5 | 4 | 1.27 | 30 | 25-7 | 66.8% | 38.2% | 13.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 2015 Maryland (4-seed, R32) |
| 25 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 70.6 | 5 | 1.14 | 16 | 27-6 | 66.0% | 31.1% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2019 Florida (10-seed, R32) |
| 26 | FAU | C-USA | 69.7 | 8 | 0.77 | 15 | 31-3 | 50.8% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 2019 Utah State (8-seed, R64) |
| 27 | Texas A&M | SEC | 69.4 | 6 | 1.00 | 24 | 25-8 | 60.6% | 24.2% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 2013 VCU (5-seed, R32) |
| 28 | North Carolina | ACC | 68.4 | 11 | 0.73 | 44 | 20-13 | 45.0% | 17.2% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 2021 Villanova (5-seed, S16) |
| 29 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 68.4 | 5 | 1.03 | 20 | 19-13 | 62.6% | 27.2% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 2017 Minnesota (5-seed, R64) |
| 30 | West Virginia | Big 12 | 67.9 | 8 | 0.69 | 19 | 19-14 | 47.8% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 2016 Texas Tech (8-seed, R64) |
| 31 | Maryland | Big Ten | 67.7 | 8 | 0.69 | 26 | 21-12 | 47.5% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 2015 Xavier (6-seed, S16) |
| 32 | Utah State | Mountain West | 67.3 | 10 | 0.83 | 22 | 26-8 | 55.7% | 17.7% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 2018 Davidson (12-seed, R64) |
| 33 | Memphis | AAC | 66.7 | 9 | 0.66 | 34 | 25-8 | 46.5% | 11.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 2022 Virginia Tech (11-seed, R64) |
| 34 | Miami | ACC | 66.5 | 6 | 0.86 | 35 | 25-7 | 56.0% | 19.8% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 2018 TCU (6-seed, R64) |
| 35 | Iowa | Big Ten | 66.2 | 9 | 0.64 | 38 | 19-13 | 45.8% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 2017 Oklahoma State (10-seed, R64) |
| 36 | Boise State | Mountain West | 65.6 | 10 | 0.77 | 27 | 24-9 | 53.0% | 15.7% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 2016 Dayton (7-seed, R64) |
| 37 | Oregon | Pac-12 | 65.3 | 47 | 19-14 | 2021 UCLA (11-seed, F4) | ||||||||
| 38 | Providence | Big East | 65.0 | 11 | 0.59 | 53 | 21-11 | 39.4% | 13.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2017 UNCW (12-seed, R64) |
| 39 | Michigan | Big Ten | 64.9 | 54 | 17-15 | 2016 Michigan (11-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 40 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 64.8 | 11 | 0.58 | 43 | 19-14 | 39.1% | 12.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2013 Oregon (12-seed, S16) |
| 41 | USC | Pac-12 | 64.7 | 10 | 0.73 | 48 | 22-10 | 51.4% | 14.5% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2022 Virginia Tech (11-seed, R64) |
| 42 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 64.3 | 7 | 0.69 | 31 | 19-12 | 48.6% | 13.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2018 Kansas State (9-seed, E8) |
| 43 | North Texas | C-USA | 64.0 | 42 | 26-7 | 2016 SFA (14-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 44 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 63.9 | 57 | 16-19 | 2015 Oregon (8-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 45 | NC State | ACC | 63.8 | 11 | 0.55 | 37 | 23-10 | 37.6% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 2014 NC State (12-seed, R64) |
| 46 | Villanova | Big East | 63.7 | 72 | 17-16 | 2018 Oklahoma (10-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 47 | Dayton | Atlantic 10 | 63.6 | 13 | 0.50 | 75 | 22-11 | 31.2% | 13.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 2019 UCF (9-seed, R32) |
| 48 | Penn State | Big Ten | 63.4 | 10 | 0.68 | 55 | 22-12 | 49.2% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 2017 Virginia Tech (9-seed, R64) |
| 49 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 63.3 | 7 | 0.65 | 40 | 21-11 | 47.0% | 12.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 2019 Minnesota (10-seed, R32) |
| 50 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 63.2 | 11 | 0.53 | 41 | 18-15 | 36.5% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 2021 Virginia Tech (10-seed, R64) |
| 51 | Mississippi State | SEC | 62.9 | 11 | 0.52 | 46 | 21-12 | 36.2% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 2018 Syracuse (11-seed, S16) |
| 52 | UAB | C-USA | 62.7 | 58 | 25-9 | 2014 Dayton (11-seed, E8) | ||||||||
| 53 | UCF | AAC | 62.7 | 71 | 18-14 | 2019 Arizona State (11-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 54 | Liberty | ASUN | 62.2 | 45 | 26-8 | 2018 Bucknell (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 55 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 62.0 | 67 | 15-17 | 2022 Notre Dame (11-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 56 | Cincinnati | AAC | 61.8 | 76 | 21-12 | 2016 SFA (14-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 57 | Iona | MAAC | 61.6 | 13 | 0.43 | 63 | 27-7 | 28.4% | 11.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 2016 Stony Brook (13-seed, R64) |
| 58 | Oral Roberts | Summit League | 61.5 | 12 | 0.49 | 39 | 30-4 | 34.3% | 11.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 2022 Davidson (10-seed, R64) |
| 59 | Clemson | ACC | 61.2 | 11 | 0.46 | 61 | 23-10 | 33.5% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 2022 Colorado State (6-seed, R64) |
| 60 | Yale | Ivy League | 61.1 | 13 | 0.42 | 64 | 21-7 | 27.8% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 2017 Vermont (13-seed, R64) |
| 61 | Charleston | CAA | 60.9 | 12 | 0.47 | 51 | 31-3 | 33.3% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 2016 UNCW (13-seed, R64) |
| 62 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 60.8 | 62 | 16-16 | 2013 La Salle (13-seed, S16) | ||||||||
| 63 | Missouri | SEC | 60.8 | 7 | 0.57 | 49 | 24-9 | 42.8% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 2017 Marquette (10-seed, R64) |
| 64 | Kent State | MAC | 60.6 | 13 | 0.41 | 68 | 28-6 | 27.1% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 2013 New Mexico State (13-seed, R64) |
| 65 | Drake | MVC | 60.4 | 12 | 0.46 | 52 | 27-7 | 32.6% | 10.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 2017 Princeton (12-seed, R64) |
| 66 | Nevada | Mountain West | 60.4 | 11 | 0.44 | 36 | 22-10 | 32.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 2022 Miami (10-seed, E8) |
| 67 | VCU | Atlantic 10 | 60.3 | 12 | 0.45 | 66 | 26-7 | 32.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 2016 Dayton (7-seed, R64) |
| 68 | Colorado | Pac-12 | 60.2 | 70 | 17-16 | 2013 La Salle (13-seed, S16) | ||||||||
| 69 | Utah | Pac-12 | 60.2 | 80 | 17-15 | 2014 Tulsa (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 70 | New Mexico | Mountain West | 60.0 | 50 | 22-11 | 2018 South Dakota State (12-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 71 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 60.0 | 69 | 17-16 | 2013 La Salle (13-seed, S16) | ||||||||
| 72 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 60.0 | 11 | 0.43 | 65 | 22-12 | 31.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 2021 Georgetown (12-seed, R64) |
| 73 | Florida | SEC | 59.9 | 59 | 16-16 | 2017 Princeton (12-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 74 | Utah Valley | WAC | 59.7 | 74 | 25-8 | 2017 ETSU (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 75 | Marshall | Sun Belt | 59.3 | 83 | 24-8 | 2017 New Mexico State (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 76 | Sam Houston | WAC | 59.1 | 60 | 25-7 | 2018 UNCG (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 77 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 59.1 | 11 | 0.41 | 56 | 22-11 | 30.5% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 2014 North Dakota State (12-seed, R32) |
| 78 | Seton Hall | Big East | 59.0 | 78 | 17-15 | 2021 Missouri (9-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 79 | BYU | WCC | 58.5 | 84 | 19-15 | 2013 La Salle (13-seed, S16) | ||||||||
| 80 | Bradley | MVC | 58.2 | 73 | 25-9 | 2015 UC Irvine (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 81 | Vanderbilt | SEC | 58.1 | 11 | 0.38 | 82 | 20-14 | 29.1% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 2017 UNCW (12-seed, R64) |
| 82 | Toledo | MAC | 57.8 | 79 | 27-7 | 2013 Iona (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 83 | St. John's | Big East | 57.6 | 98 | 18-15 | 2016 Fresno State (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 84 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 57.5 | 81 | 17-14 | 2013 Villanova (9-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 85 | Furman | SoCon | 57.4 | 14 | 0.29 | 88 | 27-7 | 20.1% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 2016 Iona (13-seed, R64) |
| 86 | Hofstra | CAA | 57.4 | 86 | 24-9 | 2021 Liberty (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 87 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 57.4 | 77 | 19-14 | 2018 Charleston (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 88 | Santa Clara | WCC | 57.1 | 85 | 23-9 | 2016 South Dakota State (12-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 89 | Louisiana | Sun Belt | 56.9 | 13 | 0.32 | 89 | 26-7 | 22.6% | 7.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 2014 Louisiana (14-seed, R64) |
| 90 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 56.9 | 95 | 14-19 | 2013 South Dakota State (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 91 | Indiana State | MVC | 56.4 | 93 | 22-12 | 2018 Georgia State (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 92 | UC Irvine | Big West | 56.4 | 97 | 23-11 | 2021 Eastern Washington (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 93 | Saint Louis | Atlantic 10 | 56.1 | 102 | 21-12 | 2018 Charleston (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 94 | San Jose State | Mountain West | 56.1 | 96 | 20-13 | 2013 Northwestern State (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 95 | South Alabama | Sun Belt | 56.0 | 106 | 19-16 | 2017 Bucknell (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 96 | Grand Canyon | WAC | 55.6 | 14 | 0.25 | 120 | 24-11 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2016 Iona (13-seed, R64) |
| 97 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | 55.5 | 87 | 25-7 | 2017 Northern Kentucky (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 98 | UMass Lowell | America East | 55.2 | 115 | 26-8 | 2014 Mercer (14-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 99 | Wake Forest | ACC | 55.1 | 91 | 19-14 | 2019 Northeastern (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 100 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 55.1 | 94 | 22-11 | 2016 Chattanooga (12-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 101 | Wichita State | AAC | 55.0 | 109 | 17-15 | 2019 Vermont (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 102 | Akron | MAC | 54.9 | 105 | 22-11 | 2018 Charleston (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 103 | UC Santa Barbara | Big West | 54.8 | 14 | 0.24 | 101 | 27-7 | 17.5% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2017 Iona (14-seed, R64) |
| 104 | Colgate | Patriot | 54.8 | 15 | 0.22 | 99 | 26-8 | 15.1% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2015 Belmont (15-seed, R64) |
| 105 | UNLV | Mountain West | 54.7 | 90 | 19-13 | 2021 Oregon State (12-seed, E8) | ||||||||
| 106 | San Francisco | WCC | 54.7 | 108 | 20-14 | 2017 Iona (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 107 | Washington | Pac-12 | 54.6 | 122 | 16-16 | 2013 Montana (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 108 | Towson | CAA | 54.6 | 132 | 21-12 | 2017 Florida Gulf Coast (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 109 | Ole Miss | SEC | 54.4 | 126 | 12-21 | 2016 Fresno State (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 110 | Nebraska | Big Ten | 54.3 | 92 | 16-16 | 2022 Richmond (12-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 111 | Princeton | Ivy League | 54.3 | 14 | 0.23 | 117 | 20-8 | 17.0% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2021 Drexel (16-seed, R64) |
| 112 | UNCG | SoCon | 54.1 | 113 | 20-12 | 2016 Middle Tennessee (15-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 113 | Duquesne | Atlantic 10 | 54.0 | 131 | 20-12 | 2016 Green Bay (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 114 | LMU | WCC | 53.9 | 107 | 19-12 | 2015 Albany (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 115 | Hawaii | Big West | 53.8 | 123 | 22-11 | 2018 SFA (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 116 | Eastern Washington | Big Sky | 53.7 | 130 | 22-10 | 2019 Colgate (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 117 | Vermont | America East | 53.6 | 15 | 0.20 | 111 | 23-10 | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2019 Northeastern (13-seed, R64) |
| 118 | Youngstown State | Horizon | 53.5 | 124 | 24-9 | 2015 Eastern Washington (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 119 | Colorado State | Mountain West | 53.4 | 110 | 15-18 | 2018 Iona (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 120 | Tulane | AAC | 53.4 | 100 | 20-11 | 2019 Northeastern (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 121 | Ohio | MAC | 53.3 | 138 | 19-14 | 2014 Delaware (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 122 | Syracuse | ACC | 53.2 | 127 | 17-15 | 2018 Charleston (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 123 | Montana State | Big Sky | 53.2 | 15 | 0.19 | 103 | 25-9 | 13.8% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2022 Yale (14-seed, R64) |
| 124 | Charlotte | C-USA | 53.2 | 112 | 18-14 | 2018 Marshall (13-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 125 | Middle Tennessee | C-USA | 52.9 | 119 | 19-14 | 2016 Buffalo (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 126 | SIU | MVC | 52.7 | 121 | 23-10 | 2015 Wyoming (12-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 127 | Belmont | MVC | 52.7 | 116 | 21-11 | 2018 Iona (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 128 | Penn | Ivy League | 52.5 | 139 | 17-13 | 2017 Iona (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 129 | Temple | AAC | 52.5 | 118 | 16-16 | 2015 Northeastern (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 130 | Southern Utah | WAC | 52.5 | 104 | 22-12 | 2014 Milwaukee (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 131 | Cal State Fullerton | Big West | 52.3 | 125 | 20-13 | 2014 Milwaukee (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 132 | UNC Asheville | Big South | 52.2 | 15 | 0.18 | 140 | 27-7 | 13.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2022 Montana State (14-seed, R64) |
| 133 | Troy | Sun Belt | 52.2 | 135 | 20-13 | 2013 Pacific (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 134 | UC Riverside | Big West | 52.0 | 141 | 22-12 | 2018 Radford (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 135 | Seattle U | WAC | 52.0 | 143 | 20-12 | 2013 James Madison (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 136 | Missouri State | MVC | 51.9 | 142 | 17-15 | 2015 Albany (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 137 | Kennesaw State | ASUN | 51.8 | 14 | 0.19 | 114 | 26-8 | 14.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2013 Pacific (15-seed, R64) |
| 138 | Butler | Big East | 51.8 | 133 | 14-18 | 2022 Yale (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 139 | George Mason | Atlantic 10 | 51.8 | 129 | 20-13 | 2019 Bradley (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 140 | Long Beach State | Big West | 51.6 | 163 | 17-16 | 2016 Green Bay (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 141 | SFA | WAC | 51.6 | 137 | 19-13 | 2015 Albany (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 142 | Fordham | Atlantic 10 | 51.5 | 134 | 25-8 | 2013 Albany (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 143 | Cleveland State | Horizon | 51.5 | 172 | 21-13 | 2013 Northwestern State (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 144 | Air Force | Mountain West | 51.5 | 150 | 14-18 | 2018 Cal State Fullerton (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 145 | LSU | SEC | 51.5 | 151 | 14-19 | 2015 Albany (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 146 | Samford | SoCon | 51.5 | 136 | 21-11 | 2018 Iona (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 147 | South Florida | AAC | 51.4 | 152 | 14-18 | 2015 Albany (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 148 | Pepperdine | WCC | 51.3 | 202 | 9-22 | 2014 Milwaukee (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 149 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 51.2 | 148 | 11-20 | 2018 Lipscomb (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 150 | Eastern Kentucky | ASUN | 51.1 | 166 | 20-13 | 2014 Cal Poly (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 151 | Northern Kentucky | Horizon | 51.0 | 16 | 0.13 | 156 | 22-12 | 10.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2014 Wofford (15-seed, R64) |
| 152 | ODU | Sun Belt | 51.0 | 154 | 19-12 | 2014 Cal Poly (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 153 | Grambling | SWAC | 51.0 | 176 | 24-9 | 2022 Norfolk State (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 154 | South Carolina | SEC | 50.9 | 233 | 11-21 | 2022 Wright State (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 155 | Georgia | SEC | 50.8 | 153 | 16-16 | 2016 Buffalo (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 156 | Lipscomb | ASUN | 50.8 | 149 | 20-13 | 2017 North Dakota (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 157 | California Baptist | WAC | 50.8 | 170 | 17-16 | 2015 North Dakota State (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 158 | Davidson | Atlantic 10 | 50.7 | 145 | 16-16 | 2018 Lipscomb (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 159 | Longwood | Big South | 50.7 | 167 | 20-12 | 2018 Radford (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 160 | Richmond | Atlantic 10 | 50.6 | 157 | 15-18 | 2013 Montana (13-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 161 | UC Davis | Big West | 50.5 | 146 | 18-14 | 2018 Radford (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 162 | DePaul | Big East | 50.5 | 169 | 10-23 | 2018 Iona (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 163 | Ball State | MAC | 50.3 | 147 | 20-12 | 2017 Troy (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 164 | A&M-Corpus Christi | Southland | 50.3 | 16 | 0.13 | 177 | 23-10 | 10.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2017 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) |
| 165 | Cornell | Ivy League | 50.3 | 128 | 17-11 | 2017 Troy (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 166 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 50.2 | 180 | 15-18 | 2016 Buffalo (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 167 | Quinnipiac | MAAC | 50.2 | 164 | 20-12 | 2018 Radford (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 168 | Harvard | Ivy League | 50.1 | 160 | 14-14 | 2018 Wright State (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 169 | Detroit Mercy | Horizon | 50.0 | 212 | 14-19 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 170 | UNCW | CAA | 49.9 | 144 | 24-10 | 2018 UMBC (16-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 171 | Wyoming | Mountain West | 49.9 | 174 | 9-22 | 2018 Iona (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 172 | Norfolk State | MEAC | 49.9 | 191 | 22-11 | 2015 Albany (14-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 173 | East Carolina | AAC | 49.9 | 208 | 16-17 | 2014 Cal Poly (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 174 | Notre Dame | ACC | 49.9 | 186 | 11-21 | 2014 Eastern Kentucky (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 175 | Montana | Big Sky | 49.8 | 168 | 17-14 | 2021 Oral Roberts (15-seed, S16) | ||||||||
| 176 | Navy | Patriot | 49.7 | 175 | 18-13 | 2013 Western Kentucky (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 177 | Texas State | Sun Belt | 49.6 | 192 | 16-19 | 2018 Radford (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 178 | Rider | MAAC | 49.6 | 216 | 16-14 | 2017 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 179 | Boston College | ACC | 49.5 | 171 | 16-17 | 2018 Lipscomb (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 180 | Utah Tech | WAC | 49.5 | 158 | 14-19 | 2021 Oral Roberts (15-seed, S16) | ||||||||
| 181 | Chattanooga | SoCon | 49.5 | 179 | 18-17 | 2019 Iona (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 182 | Portland | WCC | 49.4 | 165 | 14-19 | 2014 Eastern Kentucky (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 183 | South Dakota State | Summit League | 49.4 | 155 | 19-13 | 2018 Lipscomb (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 184 | Stetson | ASUN | 49.4 | 159 | 17-13 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 185 | Drexel | CAA | 49.3 | 190 | 17-15 | 2013 Western Kentucky (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 186 | Wright State | Horizon | 49.2 | 194 | 18-15 | 2014 Milwaukee (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 187 | Tarleton | WAC | 49.2 | 161 | 17-16 | 2022 Cal State Fullerton (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 188 | NC Central | MEAC | 49.2 | 178 | 18-12 | 2013 Albany (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 189 | App State | Sun Belt | 49.1 | 196 | 16-16 | 2014 Milwaukee (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 190 | UMass | Atlantic 10 | 49.1 | 203 | 15-16 | 2014 Wofford (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 191 | Louisiana Tech | C-USA | 49.1 | 162 | 15-18 | 2021 Appalachian St. () | ||||||||
| 192 | SMU | AAC | 49.0 | 209 | 10-22 | 2021 Appalachian St. () | ||||||||
| 193 | Radford | Big South | 49.0 | 185 | 19-14 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 194 | Northwestern State | Southland | 48.9 | 205 | 22-11 | 2015 Texas Southern (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 195 | UTEP | C-USA | 48.9 | 193 | 14-18 | 2021 Appalachian St. () | ||||||||
| 196 | Western Kentucky | C-USA | 48.8 | 173 | 17-16 | 2018 Lipscomb (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 197 | Saint Joseph's | Atlantic 10 | 48.7 | 200 | 16-17 | 2018 UMBC (16-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 198 | St. Bonaventure | Atlantic 10 | 48.6 | 199 | 14-18 | 2018 Lipscomb (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 199 | Buffalo | MAC | 48.6 | 183 | 15-17 | 2018 Radford (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 200 | Gardner-Webb | Big South | 48.5 | 197 | 15-16 | 2013 Western Kentucky (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 201 | Brown | Ivy League | 48.5 | 182 | 14-13 | 2017 Mount St. Mary's (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 202 | FGCU | ASUN | 48.5 | 181 | 17-15 | 2018 UMBC (16-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 203 | New Mexico State | WAC | 48.4 | 188 | 9-15 | 2019 Iona (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 204 | Bryant | America East | 48.2 | 184 | 17-13 | 2018 UMBC (16-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 205 | Weber State | Big Sky | 48.2 | 187 | 18-15 | 2017 Mount St. Mary's (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 206 | Abilene Christian | WAC | 48.1 | 207 | 13-17 | 2019 Iona (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 207 | Siena | MAAC | 48.0 | 201 | 17-15 | 2018 UMBC (16-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 208 | Howard | MEAC | 47.9 | 16 | 0.11 | 217 | 22-12 | 8.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2021 Norfolk State (16-seed, R64) |
| 209 | Queens | ASUN | 47.9 | 204 | 18-15 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 210 | Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 47.9 | 206 | 17-16 | 2022 Cal State Fullerton (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 211 | Pacific | WCC | 47.9 | 189 | 15-18 | 2019 North Dakota State (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 212 | Florida State | ACC | 47.7 | 222 | 9-23 | 2019 Iona (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 213 | Milwaukee | Horizon | 47.7 | 210 | 21-11 | 2017 Jacksonville State (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 214 | Georgetown | Big East | 47.6 | 242 | 7-25 | 2022 Wright State (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 215 | Mercer | SoCon | 47.6 | 227 | 14-19 | 2014 Albany (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 216 | St. Thomas | Summit League | 47.6 | 195 | 19-14 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 217 | La Salle | Atlantic 10 | 47.3 | 220 | 15-19 | 2018 Radford (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 218 | North Dakota State | Summit League | 47.3 | 214 | 16-17 | 2014 Milwaukee (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 219 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 47.3 | 218 | 9-22 | 2018 Lipscomb (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 220 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 47.2 | 223 | 11-21 | 2021 Appalachian St. () | ||||||||
| 221 | Northern Arizona | Big Sky | 47.1 | 232 | 12-23 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 222 | UNI | MVC | 47.0 | 215 | 14-18 | 2018 Lipscomb (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 223 | San Diego | WCC | 46.9 | 231 | 11-20 | 2017 South Dakota State (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 224 | George Washington | Atlantic 10 | 46.9 | 211 | 16-16 | 2019 Iona (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 225 | Sacramento State | Big Sky | 46.9 | 224 | 14-18 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 226 | Alcorn | SWAC | 46.9 | 245 | 18-13 | 2016 Hampton (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 227 | Murray State | MVC | 46.9 | 213 | 17-15 | 2019 Iona (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 228 | FIU | C-USA | 46.8 | 219 | 14-18 | 2019 North Dakota State (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 229 | Wofford | SoCon | 46.6 | 226 | 17-16 | 2017 South Dakota State (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 230 | Northern Colorado | Big Sky | 46.6 | 235 | 12-20 | 2019 Iona (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 231 | Rice | C-USA | 46.6 | 198 | 18-15 | 2019 North Dakota State (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 232 | SIUE | OVC | 46.3 | 221 | 19-14 | 2016 Hampton (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 233 | Jacksonville | ASUN | 46.3 | 238 | 13-16 | 2014 Milwaukee (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 234 | Robert Morris | Horizon | 46.2 | 246 | 16-17 | 2017 UC Davis (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 235 | Campbell | Big South | 46.1 | 234 | 16-18 | 2019 North Dakota State (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 236 | Jacksonville State | ASUN | 46.0 | 241 | 13-18 | 2018 UMBC (16-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 237 | UT Arlington | WAC | 46.0 | 251 | 11-21 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 238 | Purdue Fort Wayne | Horizon | 46.0 | 237 | 17-15 | 2018 Lipscomb (15-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 239 | North Florida | ASUN | 45.9 | 236 | 14-17 | 2015 Lafayette (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 240 | Western Carolina | SoCon | 45.9 | 230 | 18-15 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 241 | ETSU | SoCon | 45.9 | 266 | 12-20 | 2018 UMBC (16-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 242 | Delaware | CAA | 45.9 | 225 | 17-16 | 2019 Iona (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 243 | Rhode Island | Atlantic 10 | 45.9 | 263 | 9-22 | 2021 Appalachian St. () | ||||||||
| 244 | Loyola Chicago | Atlantic 10 | 45.6 | 269 | 10-21 | 2019 Iona (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 245 | Northern Illinois | MAC | 45.5 | 247 | 13-19 | 2017 Mount St. Mary's (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 246 | Morehead State | OVC | 45.4 | 228 | 21-11 | 2018 UMBC (16-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 247 | Southern Indiana | OVC | 45.4 | 257 | 16-16 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 248 | Army | Patriot | 45.4 | 248 | 17-16 | 2019 FDU (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 249 | Canisius | MAAC | 45.3 | 262 | 10-20 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 250 | Prairie View | SWAC | 45.3 | 277 | 13-19 | 2015 Hampton (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 251 | Portland State | Big Sky | 45.3 | 249 | 12-19 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 252 | UMES | MEAC | 45.2 | 229 | 18-13 | 2021 Hartford (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 253 | UMBC | America East | 45.2 | 240 | 18-14 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 254 | Saint Peter's | MAAC | 45.1 | 301 | 14-18 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 255 | Nicholls | Southland | 45.1 | 264 | 16-15 | 2021 Appalachian St. () | ||||||||
| 256 | Idaho State | Big Sky | 45.0 | 252 | 11-21 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 257 | Fairfield | MAAC | 44.9 | 265 | 13-18 | 2021 Appalachian St. () | ||||||||
| 258 | Niagara | MAAC | 44.9 | 253 | 16-15 | 2018 UMBC (16-seed, R32) | ||||||||
| 259 | USC Upstate | Big South | 44.9 | 256 | 16-15 | 2017 Mount St. Mary's (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 260 | Winthrop | Big South | 44.8 | 254 | 15-17 | 2019 North Dakota State (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 261 | Southeastern Louisiana | Southland | 44.8 | 255 | 18-14 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 262 | UTRGV | WAC | 44.8 | 259 | 15-17 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 263 | Western Illinois | Summit League | 44.7 | 244 | 16-14 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 264 | SEMO | OVC | 44.7 | 16 | 0.08 | 243 | 19-16 | 7.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) |
| 265 | Kansas City | Summit League | 44.6 | 308 | 11-21 | 2016 Hampton (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 266 | Boston U | Patriot | 44.6 | 260 | 15-17 | 2021 Appalachian St. () | ||||||||
| 267 | North Alabama | ASUN | 44.5 | 239 | 18-14 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 268 | California | Pac-12 | 44.4 | 313 | 3-29 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 269 | UT Martin | OVC | 44.3 | 250 | 19-14 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 270 | Georgia State | Sun Belt | 44.2 | 292 | 10-21 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 271 | Bowling Green | MAC | 44.2 | 283 | 11-20 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 272 | American | Patriot | 44.1 | 261 | 17-15 | 2019 FDU (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 273 | Dartmouth | Ivy League | 44.1 | 279 | 10-18 | 2017 Mount St. Mary's (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 274 | Mount St. Mary's | MAAC | 44.0 | 270 | 13-20 | 2017 UC Davis (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 275 | Wagner | NEC | 44.0 | 310 | 15-13 | 2016 Hampton (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 276 | North Dakota | Summit League | 44.0 | 274 | 13-20 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 277 | Bellarmine | ASUN | 44.0 | 258 | 15-18 | 2019 North Dakota State (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 278 | Southern | SWAC | 44.0 | 267 | 15-17 | 2017 Mount St. Mary's (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 279 | Lafayette | Patriot | 44.0 | 271 | 11-23 | 2017 Mount St. Mary's (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 280 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 43.9 | 282 | 13-20 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 281 | Marist | MAAC | 43.9 | 291 | 13-20 | 2017 UC Davis (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 282 | Texas Southern | SWAC | 43.8 | 16 | 0.08 | 309 | 14-20 | 6.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) |
| 283 | New Hampshire | America East | 43.8 | 268 | 15-15 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 284 | Miami (OH) | MAC | 43.8 | 284 | 12-20 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 285 | ULM | Sun Belt | 43.8 | 294 | 11-21 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 286 | Oakland | Horizon | 43.8 | 273 | 13-19 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 287 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 43.8 | 295 | 11-20 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 288 | UC San Diego | Big West | 43.7 | 278 | 10-20 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 289 | Tennessee State | OVC | 43.7 | 281 | 18-14 | 2019 FDU (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 290 | Illinois State | MVC | 43.6 | 280 | 11-21 | 2019 North Dakota State (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 291 | High Point | Big South | 43.5 | 293 | 14-17 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 292 | Charleston Southern | Big South | 43.4 | 304 | 10-21 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 293 | Cal Poly | Big West | 43.4 | 307 | 8-25 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 294 | Lehigh | Patriot | 43.4 | 275 | 16-14 | 2017 Mount St. Mary's (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 295 | CSU Bakersfield | Big West | 43.4 | 289 | 11-22 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 296 | Chicago State | DI Independent | 43.4 | 299 | 11-20 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 297 | Valparaiso | MVC | 43.3 | 290 | 11-21 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 298 | Denver | Summit League | 43.3 | 286 | 15-17 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 299 | Louisville | ACC | 43.3 | 316 | 4-28 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 300 | FDU | NEC | 43.2 | 16 | 0.08 | 298 | 19-15 | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) |
| 301 | Maine | America East | 43.1 | 276 | 13-17 | 2017 Mount St. Mary's (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 302 | Jackson State | SWAC | 43.1 | 305 | 14-19 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 303 | South Dakota | Summit League | 43.1 | 297 | 12-19 | 2019 Iona (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 304 | Tennessee Tech | OVC | 43.1 | 272 | 16-17 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 305 | UTSA | C-USA | 43.0 | 288 | 10-22 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 306 | Northeastern | CAA | 42.8 | 312 | 10-20 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 307 | UIC | MVC | 42.8 | 285 | 12-20 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 308 | Alabama A&M | SWAC | 42.7 | 321 | 15-18 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 309 | Binghamton | America East | 42.6 | 300 | 13-18 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 310 | Eastern Michigan | MAC | 42.5 | 319 | 8-23 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 311 | Texas A&M Commerce | Southland | 42.5 | 303 | 13-20 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 312 | Merrimack | NEC | 42.5 | 306 | 18-16 | 2017 Mount St. Mary's (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 313 | Bucknell | Patriot | 42.5 | 296 | 12-20 | 2017 Mount St. Mary's (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 314 | Western Michigan | MAC | 42.4 | 324 | 8-23 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 315 | Manhattan | MAAC | 42.4 | 302 | 12-18 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 316 | Morgan State | MEAC | 42.3 | 287 | 15-16 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 317 | Idaho | Big Sky | 42.2 | 311 | 10-22 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 318 | Tulsa | AAC | 42.1 | 322 | 5-25 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 319 | Little Rock | OVC | 41.6 | 323 | 10-21 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 320 | North Carolina A&T | CAA | 41.6 | 318 | 13-19 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 321 | Omaha | Summit League | 41.4 | 315 | 9-23 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 322 | Austin Peay | ASUN | 41.4 | 325 | 9-22 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 323 | William & Mary | CAA | 41.3 | 317 | 13-20 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 324 | UAPB | SWAC | 41.3 | 332 | 10-21 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 325 | CSUN | Big West | 41.2 | 333 | 7-25 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 326 | Sacred Heart | NEC | 41.1 | 327 | 16-17 | 2016 Austin Peay (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 327 | The Citadel | SoCon | 41.0 | 331 | 10-22 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 328 | Loyola Maryland | Patriot | 41.0 | 320 | 13-20 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 329 | McNeese | Southland | 40.9 | 339 | 11-23 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 330 | Stony Brook | CAA | 40.8 | 329 | 11-22 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 331 | Central Michigan | MAC | 40.7 | 328 | 10-21 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 332 | New Orleans | Southland | 40.6 | 340 | 12-20 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 333 | Alabama State | SWAC | 40.6 | 346 | 8-23 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 334 | Stonehill | NEC | 40.6 | 314 | 14-17 | 2017 Mount St. Mary's (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 335 | NJIT | America East | 40.5 | 334 | 7-23 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 336 | Central Arkansas | ASUN | 40.5 | 330 | 9-22 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 337 | South Carolina State | MEAC | 40.5 | 347 | 5-26 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 338 | Elon | CAA | 40.0 | 337 | 8-24 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 339 | Central Connecticut | NEC | 40.0 | 343 | 10-22 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 340 | Presbyterian | Big South | 39.9 | 353 | 5-27 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 341 | UIW | Southland | 39.9 | 345 | 12-19 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 342 | Coppin State | MEAC | 39.7 | 326 | 9-23 | 2017 Mount St. Mary's (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 343 | Monmouth | CAA | 39.7 | 351 | 7-26 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 344 | Columbia | Ivy League | 39.7 | 341 | 7-22 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 345 | Holy Cross | Patriot | 39.6 | 335 | 10-22 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 346 | Saint Francis | NEC | 39.6 | 336 | 13-18 | 2018 Texas Southern (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 347 | Eastern Illinois | OVC | 39.6 | 344 | 9-22 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 348 | Lindenwood | OVC | 39.6 | 338 | 11-21 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 349 | Bethune-Cookman | SWAC | 39.5 | 348 | 12-20 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 350 | UAlbany | America East | 39.4 | 342 | 8-23 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 351 | Hampton | CAA | 39.2 | 349 | 8-24 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 352 | Evansville | MVC | 38.9 | 350 | 5-27 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 353 | Lamar | Southland | 38.5 | 356 | 9-22 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 354 | VMI | SoCon | 38.4 | 355 | 7-25 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 355 | Houston Christian | Southland | 38.3 | 357 | 10-22 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 356 | St. Francis Brooklyn | NEC | 38.3 | 352 | 14-16 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 357 | Mississippi Valley State | SWAC | 38.2 | 358 | 5-27 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 358 | Florida A&M | SWAC | 38.1 | 359 | 7-22 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 359 | Delaware State | MEAC | 38.0 | 354 | 6-24 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 360 | IUPUI | Horizon | 37.1 | 360 | 5-27 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 361 | Green Bay | Horizon | 35.4 | 361 | 3-29 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 362 | Hartford | DI Independent | 34.1 | 363 | 5-23 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) | ||||||||
| 363 | LIU | NEC | 34.0 | 362 | 3-26 | 2016 Holy Cross (16-seed, R64) |
Tournament Index highlights:
- Correctly predicted each of the previous three national champions
- Correctly predicted 14 Final Four teams since 2013
- “Upset Alert” teams have lost 42 percent of their first-round matchups compared to the national average of 24 percent
- “Cinderella Watch” teams have advanced to the Sweet 16 or further 28 percent of the time compared to the national average of 7.8 percent
- “Dark Horse” teams have won 38 percent more NCAA Tournament games than other 5-11 seeds
How it works: Teams are given 0-to-100 power ratings based on key metrics that predict March Madness success, according to our research. These metrics include team efficiencies, Four Factors, NBA talent, tournament experience, preseason rankings and more.
After the bracket release on Selection Sunday, every team has a 0-to-100 “path rating” that determines the difficulty of their tournament path based on likely tournament opponents. For example, a 2-seed in a weaker region may have a more favorable draw than a 1-seed in a stronger region, which is reflected by this rating.
Round-by-round win probabilities are then generated for every team. From there, using ESPN’s Tournament Challenge pick data, we identify which teams provide the best overall value to help win your bracket pool. Value is determined by how many bracket points you would be expected to “gain” over your pool based on correctly selecting a particular team.
Here’s an example: In 2021, 6-seed BYU faced 11-seed UCLA in the first round. Our model gave BYU a 56.8% win probability compared to the 34.2% who selected UCLA to advance while our model gave UCLA a 43.2% win probability compared to the 65.8% who selected BYU to advance. Standard bracket formats typically follow the 10-20-40-80-160-320 round-by-round scoring format. The calculation for first-round pick value looks like the following:
- BYU: 0.568 win probability * 0.342 opponent pick rate * 10 possible points = 1.9 pick value
- UCLA: 0.423 win probability * 0.658 opponent pick rate * 10 possible points = 2.8 pick value
These calculations continue through the remaining five rounds and are summed for the team’s final overall pick value. The pick value indicates which teams you should select in each round of your bracket to earn the most expected points possible over your bracket pool.
Our model outsmarts the competition.
First and foremost, tournament seeds can deceive. Though the 2014 Kentucky team underwhelmed during the regular season, John Calipari’s Wildcats still had one of the tournament’s most talented rosters that year. Remember, the Cats were the No. 1 team in the preseason AP poll going into the 2013-14 campaign.
As an 8-seed, Kentucky’s Power Rating of 79.6 would have even been considered above-average for a 3-seed, let alone an 8. It should come as somewhat less of a surprise, then, that the woefully under-seeded Wildcats advanced all the way to the national title game that year.
Meanwhile, a team like 2017 Minnesota — with a Power Rating of just 66.6 — entered the Big Dance as a 5-seed, but had a relative strength more resembling a 9-seed. Tournament Index would have said to avoid this 5-seed like the plague. As it happened, the Gophers trailed 12-seed Middle Tennessee by as many as 17 points in an eventual 81-72 first-round loss.
The selection committee has an impossible job to “correctly” select and seed all 68 teams, which means there is always hidden value to be found. To that end, Tournament Index shines a light into all the nooks and crannies of the bracket.
Below are tables showing how to interpret the Tournament Index ratings and identify potential advantages in your bracket pool.
NCAA Tournament wins based on Tournament Index Power Rating
| Power Rating | Average NCAA Tournament Wins |
| 88 or higher | 3.84 |
| 80 to 87.9 | 2.21 |
| 70 to 79.9 | 1.15 |
| 60 to 69.9 | 0.61 |
| 59.9 or lower | 0.13 |
Tournament Index Power Ratings By Seed
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