A handful of teams are becoming tough to evaluate due to injuries, metrics, lacking wins and COVID pauses. Find out which squads could be talking points come Selection Sunday.

We’re entering the stretch run of the season where teams are vying for conference tournament seeding and March Madness berths.

As is the exercise every year, a handful of teams appear in the dreaded misfit box where their seeding and at-large arguments are tough to evaluate.

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We decided to discuss below the 10 teams with the toughest bracketing situations based on factors such as injuries, COVID pauses, and conflicting metrics/team sheet performances.


Current projection: Last four in

UConn is 54th in NET and has just one victory (USC) over a team certain to be in March’s field. What makes the Huskies’ seeding situation challenging to gauge is that star guard James Bouknight has been absent in four of UConn’s six defeats. Bouknight is as important as they come, averaging over 20 points and five rebounds per game. How the committee chooses to assess UConn come Selection Sunday will be an intriguing topic.


Current projection: 6 seed

The metrics and team sheet certainly don’t line up when it comes to Mizzou. The Tigers are outside the top four in most metrics and are 39th in NET, but Cuonzo Martin’s team also has four Q1-A victories against Illinois, Alabama, Tennessee and Arkansas. Four of Mizzou’s six losses have come by double digits while their best wins have been by slim margins, which explains why the efficiency metrics and team sheets don’t closely align. Does the committee lean towards the signature wins or average analytics?

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Eli Boettger
Eli Boettger

Heat Check CBB founder, editor