College basketball: NET Quad projections, schedule breakdowns for 2021-22 season

Chris Holtmann, Ohio State

Projecting college basketball NET quadrants and team-sheet opportunities for the 2021-22 season.

One of the biggest determining factors in a college basketball season is decided even before opening night.

In a sport with over 350 teams, not every program has the same number of chances to beat quality opponents. This imbalance allows the major conferences to stack up at-large bids while the vast majority of the college landscape is only represented by an automatic bid. As a result, schedules play a huge role in determining which teams play in the postseason.

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While pro sports like the NFL or NBA know strength of schedules as soon as schedules are released, their postseason teams are selected simply by wins and losses.

This isn’t the case in college basketball, where a 12-loss ACC team may receive a tournament bid over a 6-loss SoCon team. But this explains why understanding team schedules and how the matchups impact NET rankings and NET quadrant opportunities is so vital to any studious college basketball fan.

Below you will find NET quadrant projections and NET team-sheet value rankings.


College basketball NET quadrant projections, 2021-22

  • SUMMARY: Using 2021-22 team projections and historical NET data based on programs and conferences, we are able to project which quadrant each team will fall under for opposing team sheets for the 2021-22 season.
  • TeamConferenceAwayNeutralHome
    Abilene ChristianWAC233
    Air ForceMWC444
    AkronMAC233
    AlabamaSEC112
    Alabama A&MSWAC444
    Alabama St.SWAC444
    AlbanyAmerica East344
    Alcorn St.SWAC444
    AmericanPatriot344
    Appalachian St.Sun Belt334
    ArizonaPac-12112
    Arizona St.Pac-12223
    ArkansasSEC112
    Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC444
    Arkansas St.Sun Belt334
    ArmyPatriot444
    AuburnSEC111
    Austin PeayOVC444
    Ball St.MAC344
    BaylorBig 12111
    BellarmineASUN444
    BelmontOVC122
    Bethune CookmanSWAC444
    BinghamtonAmerica East444
    Boise St.MWC112
    Boston CollegeACC233
    Boston UniversityPatriot334
    Bowling GreenMAC334
    BradleyMVC334
    BrownIvy444
    BryantNEC334
    BucknellPatriot444
    BuffaloMAC122
    ButlerBig East223
    BYUWCC112
    Cal BaptistWAC344
    Cal PolyBig West444
    Cal St. BakersfieldBig West444
    Cal St. FullertonBig West344
    Cal St. NorthridgeBig West444
    CaliforniaPac-12233
    CampbellBig South233
    CanisiusMAAC444
    Central ArkansasASUN444
    Central ConnecticutNEC444
    Central MichiganMAC444
    Charleston SouthernBig South444
    CharlotteCUSA334
    ChattanoogaSoCon334
    Chicago St.WAC444
    CincinnatiAAC233
    ClemsonACC122
    Cleveland St.Horizon334
    Coastal CarolinaSun Belt344
    ColgatePatriot122
    College of CharlestonCAA444
    ColoradoPac-12112
    Colorado St.MWC122
    ColumbiaIvy444
    ConnecticutBig East111
    Coppin St.MEAC444
    CornellIvy444
    CreightonBig East122
    DartmouthIvy444
    DavidsonA10233
    DaytonA10333
    DelawareCAA333
    Delaware St.MEAC444
    DenverSummit444
    DePaulBig East233
    DetroitHorizon444
    Dixie St.WAC444
    DrakeMVC122
    DrexelCAA444
    DukeACC111
    DuquesneA10344
    East CarolinaAAC334
    East Tennessee St.SoCon334
    Eastern IllinoisOVC444
    Eastern KentuckyASUN223
    Eastern MichiganMAC444
    Eastern WashingtonBig Sky444
    ElonCAA334
    EvansvilleMVC344
    FairfieldMAAC344
    Fairleigh DickinsonNEC444
    FIUCUSA444
    FloridaSEC111
    Florida A&MSWAC444
    Florida AtlanticCUSA334
    Florida Gulf CoastASUN334
    Florida St.ACC111
    FordhamA10344
    Fort WayneHorizon344
    Fresno St.MWC233
    FurmanSoCon333
    Gardner WebbBig South333
    George MasonA10334
    George WashingtonA10444
    GeorgetownBig East223
    GeorgiaSEC444
    Georgia SouthernSun Belt444
    Georgia St.Sun Belt333
    Georgia TechACC122
    GonzagaWCC111
    Grambling St.SWAC444
    Grand CanyonWAC333
    Green BayHorizon444
    HamptonBig South444
    HartfordAmerica East444
    HarvardIvy333
    HawaiiBig West333
    High PointBig South444
    HofstraCAA444
    Holy CrossPatriot344
    HoustonAAC111
    Houston BaptistSouthland444
    HowardMEAC444
    IdahoBig Sky444
    Idaho St.Big Sky344
    IllinoisBig Ten111
    Illinois ChicagoHorizon444
    Illinois St.MVC344
    Incarnate WordSouthland444
    IndianaBig Ten111
    Indiana St.MVC444
    IonaMAAC223
    IowaBig Ten112
    Iowa St.Big 12334
    IUPUIHorizon444
    Jackson St.SWAC334
    JacksonvilleASUN444
    Jacksonville St.ASUN333
    James MadisonCAA334
    KansasBig 12111
    Kansas St.Big 12223
    Kennesaw St.ASUN444
    Kent St.MAC233
    KentuckySEC111
    La SalleA10444
    LafayettePatriot444
    LamarWAC444
    LehighPatriot444
    LibertyASUN223
    LipscombASUN334
    Little RockSun Belt444
    LIU BrooklynNEC334
    Long Beach St.Big West444
    LongwoodBig South344
    Louisiana LafayetteSun Belt334
    Louisiana MonroeSun Belt444
    Louisiana TechCUSA223
    LouisvilleACC111
    Loyola ChicagoMVC112
    Loyola MarymountWCC233
    Loyola MDPatriot444
    LSUSEC122
    MaineAmerica East444
    ManhattanMAAC444
    MaristMAAC344
    MarquetteBig East233
    MarshallCUSA333
    MarylandBig Ten111
    Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC444
    MassachusettsA10333
    McNeese St.Southland444
    MemphisAAC111
    MercerSoCon444
    MerrimackNEC233
    Miami FLACC223
    Miami OHMAC233
    MichiganBig Ten111
    Michigan St.Big Ten111
    Middle TennesseeCUSA334
    MilwaukeeHorizon344
    MinnesotaBig Ten223
    MississippiSEC122
    Mississippi St.SEC112
    Mississippi Valley St.SWAC444
    MissouriSEC334
    Missouri St.MVC233
    MonmouthMAAC333
    MontanaBig Sky333
    Montana St.Big Sky333
    Morehead St.OVC333
    Morgan St.MEAC334
    Mount St. Mary'sNEC444
    Murray St.OVC233
    NavyPatriot334
    NebraskaBig Ten223
    Nebraska OmahaSummit444
    NevadaMWC122
    New HampshireAmerica East444
    New MexicoMWC444
    New Mexico St.WAC223
    New OrleansSouthland444
    NiagaraMAAC444
    Nicholls St.Southland444
    NJITAmerica East444
    Norfolk St.MEAC444
    North AlabamaASUN444
    North CarolinaACC111
    North Carolina A&TBig South344
    North Carolina CentralMEAC444
    North Carolina St.ACC223
    North DakotaSummit444
    North Dakota St.Summit334
    North FloridaASUN444
    North TexasCUSA233
    NortheasternCAA233
    Northern ArizonaBig Sky344
    Northern ColoradoBig Sky344
    Northern IllinoisMAC444
    Northern IowaMVC223
    Northern KentuckyHorizon334
    NorthwesternBig Ten112
    Northwestern St.Southland444
    Notre DameACC122
    OaklandHorizon344
    OhioMAC112
    Ohio St.Big Ten111
    OklahomaBig 12111
    Oklahoma St.Big 12112
    Old DominionCUSA233
    Oral RobertsSummit344
    OregonPac-12112
    Oregon St.Pac-12223
    PacificWCC233
    PennIvy344
    Penn St.Big Ten122
    PepperdineWCC334
    PittsburghACC333
    PortlandWCC344
    Portland St.Big Sky233
    Prairie View A&MSWAC444
    PresbyterianBig South444
    PrincetonIvy444
    ProvidenceBig East122
    PurdueBig Ten111
    QuinnipiacMAAC344
    RadfordBig South444
    Rhode IslandA10223
    RiceCUSA333
    RichmondA10111
    RiderMAAC334
    Robert MorrisHorizon444
    RutgersBig Ten111
    Sacramento St.Big Sky444
    Sacred HeartNEC444
    Saint Joseph'sA10344
    Saint LouisA10333
    Saint Mary'sWCC122
    Saint Peter'sMAAC333
    Sam Houston St.WAC334
    SamfordSoCon334
    San DiegoWCC334
    San Diego St.MWC122
    San FranciscoWCC122
    San Jose St.MWC444
    Santa ClaraWCC122
    SeattleWAC233
    Seton HallBig East112
    SienaMAAC344
    SIU EdwardsvilleOVC444
    SMUAAC122
    South AlabamaSun Belt444
    South CarolinaSEC233
    South Carolina St.MEAC444
    South DakotaSummit334
    South Dakota St.Summit233
    South FloridaAAC444
    Southeast Missouri St.OVC344
    Southeastern LouisianaSouthland444
    SouthernSWAC444
    Southern IllinoisMVC233
    Southern MissCUSA334
    Southern UtahBig Sky233
    St. BonaventureA10111
    St. Francis NYNEC344
    St. Francis PANEC444
    St. John'sBig East112
    St. ThomasSummit444
    StanfordPac-12112
    Stephen F. AustinWAC333
    StetsonASUN344
    Stony BrookAmerica East333
    SyracuseACC122
    Tarleton St.WAC344
    TCUBig 12122
    TempleAAC333
    TennesseeSEC111
    Tennessee MartinOVC444
    Tennessee St.OVC444
    Tennessee TechOVC444
    TexasBig 12112
    Texas A&MSEC233
    Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSouthland444
    Texas SouthernSWAC444
    Texas St.Sun Belt333
    Texas TechBig 12111
    The CitadelSoCon444
    ToledoMAC233
    TowsonCAA444
    TroySun Belt444
    TulaneAAC333
    TulsaAAC233
    UABCUSA122
    UC DavisBig West344
    UC IrvineBig West233
    UC RiversideBig West223
    UC San DiegoBig West444
    UC Santa BarbaraBig West233
    UCFAAC112
    UCLAPac-12111
    UMass LowellAmerica East444
    UMBCAmerica East444
    UMKCSummit344
    UNC AshevilleBig South344
    UNC GreensboroSoCon334
    UNC WilmingtonCAA444
    UNLVMWC334
    USCPac-12111
    USC UpstateBig South444
    UT ArlingtonSun Belt344
    UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC444
    UtahPac-12334
    Utah St.MWC122
    Utah ValleyWAC344
    UTEPCUSA223
    UTSACUSA344
    ValparaisoMVC333
    VanderbiltSEC223
    VCUA10122
    VermontAmerica East233
    VillanovaBig East111
    VirginiaACC223
    Virginia TechACC122
    VMISoCon344
    WagnerNEC344
    Wake ForestACC223
    WashingtonPac-12223
    Washington St.Pac-12223
    Weber St.Big Sky334
    West VirginiaBig 12111
    Western CarolinaSoCon444
    Western IllinoisSummit444
    Western KentuckyCUSA223
    Western MichiganMAC444
    Wichita St.AAC112
    William & MaryCAA344
    WinthropBig South334
    WisconsinBig Ten223
    WoffordSoCon334
    Wright St.Horizon233
    WyomingMWC233
    XavierBig East112
    YaleIvy233
    Youngstown St.Horizon444

    College basketball NET team-sheet value rankings, 2021-22

  • SUMMARY: Using 2021-22 team projections and historical NET data based on programs and conferences, we are able to project total games by NET quadrant for the upcoming season, creating a single metric to value teams based on schedule strength, using 4 points for Quad-I opponents, 3 points for Quad-II opponents, etc.
  • Coming soon!

    Other useful scheduling and team projections resources: